SMALL CONTEXT. USEFUL INSIGHTS.
# SGD with vanishing correlated gradient errors
## Model and result contracts
Let $F:\mathbb R^p\to\mathbb R$ be $\mu$-strongly convex and $L$-smooth, with minimizer $\theta^*$. For a filtration $(\mathcal F_t)$, consider
$$
\theta_{t+1}=\theta_t-\eta_t[\nabla F(\theta_t)+\xi_{t+1}+b_t],\qquad
\eta_t=Dt^{-\alpha},\quad D>0,\quad 1/2<\alpha<1,
$$
$$
b_t=\sum_{s=1}^tW_{t,s}\varepsilon_s+\delta_t.
$$
Here $W_{t,s}\in\mathbb R^{p\times q}$ are deterministic; $\theta_t,b_t,\delta_t$ are adapted; $\mathbb E\|\theta_1-\theta^*\|^2<\infty$. An adapted historical error need not be conditionally centered given the current past.
**Convergence (Theorem 1).** Assume $\mathbb E[\xi_{t+1}\mid\mathcal F_t]=0$, $\mathbb E[\|\xi_{t+1}\|^2\mid\mathcal F_t]\le\sigma^2$, and independent centered $\varepsilon_s$ of common covariance $Q$. If
$$
\sum_{s\le t}\operatorname{tr}(W_{t,s}QW_{t,s}^\top)\le B_W/t,\qquad
\mathbb E\|\delta_t\|^2\le B_\delta/t,
$$
then with $B=2(B_W+B_\delta)$,
$$
\mathbb E\|\theta_t-\theta^*\|^2\le
a_n\exp[-c_0(t^{1-\alpha}-n^{1-\alpha})]
+\frac{4D\sigma^2}{\mu}t^{-\alpha}+\frac{12B}{\mu^2}t^{-1},
\quad c_0=\frac{\mu D}{2(1-\alpha)}.
$$
One admissible start is
$$
n=\max\{1,\lceil(DL)^{1/\alpha}\rceil,
\lceil(4/(\mu D))^{1/(1-\alpha)}\rceil\}.
$$
Convergence holds almost surely and in mean square. If $\delta_t=0$, use $B=B_W$. The proof also applies to any adapted error with $\mathbb E\|b_t\|^2\le B/t$.
**PR CLT (Theorem 2).** Additionally assume a globally Lipschitz Hessian, and i.i.d. centered joint innovations $Z_s=(\xi_s^\top,\varepsilon_s^\top)^\top$ independent of $\mathcal F_{s-1}$, of finite covariance
$$
\mathcal Q=\begin{pmatrix}S&C_0\\ C_0^\top&Q\end{pmatrix}.
$$
Require $\mathbb E\|b_t\|^2\le Bt^{-\beta}$ with $\beta>\max\{1/2,2\alpha-1\}$ and $T^{-1/2}\sum_{t\le T}\delta_t\to_p0$. Define
$$
K_{T,s}=\sum_{t=s}^TW_{t,s},\qquad
\frac1T\sum_{s\le T}K_{T,s}QK_{T,s}^\top\to\Gamma,\quad
\frac1T\sum_{s\le T}K_{T,s}\to K,\quad
\max_{s\le T}\frac{\|K_{T,s}\|_{\rm op}}{\sqrt T}\to0.
$$
For $H=\nabla^2F(\theta^*)$ and $\bar\theta_T=T^{-1}\sum_{t\le T}\theta_t$,
$$
\sqrt T(\bar\theta_T-\theta^*)\Rightarrow
N(0,H^{-1}\Sigma_{\rm eff}H^{-\top}),\qquad
\Sigma_{\rm eff}=S+\Gamma+C_0K^\top+KC_0^\top.
$$
The matrix $\Gamma$ describes the limiting historical contribution in distribution. Identifying it with the limit of the actual cumulative covariance also requires the cumulative $\delta_t$ to vanish in $L^2$, not only in probability. When $\beta>1$, Minkowski's inequality already makes the total historical error negligible in $L^2$; the usual covariance $H^{-1}SH^{-\top}$ follows without the weight-limit conditions.
## Core mechanisms and essential derivations
### 1. Absorb adapted historical bias into contraction (Appendix A.1)
Write $e_t=\theta_t-\theta^*$ and $V_t=\|e_t\|^2$. Cocoercivity and strong convexity, for $\eta_t\le1/L$, give
$$
\|e_t-\eta_t\nabla F(\theta_t)\|^2\le(1-\mu\eta_t)V_t.
$$
The historical cross term does not vanish; use Young's inequality. Only the fresh $\xi_{t+1}$ term is conditionally centered. The resulting recursion is
$$
\mathbb E[V_{t+1}\mid\mathcal F_t]
\le(1-\mu\eta_t/2)V_t+(3\eta_t/\mu)\|b_t\|^2+\sigma^2\eta_t^2.
$$
Its scalar comparison has forcing orders $t^{-2\alpha}$ and $t^{-\alpha-1}$, yielding the two MSE terms. Moreover,
$$
\mathbb E\sum_t[\eta_t\|b_t\|^2+\eta_t^2]<\infty.
$$
Tonelli gives almost-sure summability; the almost-supermartingale argument yields a limit and $\sum_t\eta_tV_t<\infty$. Since $\sum_t\eta_t=\infty$, that limit is zero. Mere one-step unbiasedness of an auxiliary estimator would not replace this adapted-bias argument.
### 2. Swap sums before estimating cumulative noise (Appendix A.2)
An individual estimate may have MSE $O(t^{-1})$ while repeatedly reusing old innovations. The decisive identity is
$$
\frac1{\sqrt T}\sum_{t\le T}b_t
=\frac1{\sqrt T}\sum_{s\le T}K_{T,s}\varepsilon_s+o_p(1).
$$
The relevant variance is governed by column sums $K_{T,s}$, not the rowwise variance of $b_t$. Minkowski alone shows
$$
\left\|T^{-1/2}\sum_{t\le T}b_t\right\|_{L^2}
\le\sqrt{B/T}\sum_{t\le T}t^{-\beta/2}.
$$
Thus $\beta>1$ forces negligible cumulative error, $\beta=1$ only gives bounded covariance, and $0<\beta<1$ permits zero, finite nonzero, divergent, or bounded oscillatory behavior. These possibilities do not assert the extra CLT hypotheses.
Taylor expansion and summation by parts give the exact decomposition
$$
H\frac1{\sqrt T}\sum_{t\le T}e_t
=A_T-\frac1{\sqrt T}\sum_{t\le T}(\xi_{t+1}+b_t)
-\frac1{\sqrt T}\sum_{t\le T}r_t,
$$
$$
A_T=\frac1{\sqrt T}\left[\frac{e_1}{\eta_1}-\frac{e_{T+1}}{\eta_T}
+\sum_{t=2}^T(\eta_t^{-1}-\eta_{t-1}^{-1})e_t\right],\qquad
\|r_t\|\le(L_H/2)\|e_t\|^2.
$$
The generalized MSE bound is $O(t^{-\alpha}+t^{-\beta})$. It makes $A_T\to0$ in $L^2$ when $\beta>2\alpha-1$, and the nonlinear sum vanish in $L^1$ when $\alpha,\beta>1/2$. These explain the exponent condition rather than treating it as an arbitrary cutoff. Replacing $\sum\xi_{t+1}$ by $\sum\xi_t$ leaves only an $o_{L^2}(1)$ endpoint term.
Apply a joint triangular-array CLT to $(\xi_s,K_{T,s}\varepsilon_s)/\sqrt T$. Finite second moments, vanishing maximum weight and bounded summed covariance imply Lindeberg. If $\mathcal Q$ is singular, factor it on its positive-rank range and use its pseudoinverse there; full invertibility is unnecessary. The cross terms $C_0K^\top+KC_0^\top$ must be retained unless justified to vanish.
### 3. Single-step MSE and downstream efficiency choose different gains (Examples 1–2)
For running means $b_t=t^{-1}\sum_{s\le t}\varepsilon_s$, put $h_t=\sum_{j\le t}j^{-1}$. Then
$$
K_{T,s}=(h_T-h_{s-1})I,\quad
\frac1T\sum_sK_{T,s}=I,\quad
\frac1T\sum_sK_{T,s}QK_{T,s}^\top=(2-h_T/T)Q.
$$
With $C_0=0$, one-step covariance is $Q/t$ but PR covariance is $H^{-1}(S+2Q)H^{-\top}$.
For a fixed $c>1/2$ and deterministic $b_0$,
$$
b_t=(1-c/t)b_{t-1}+(c/t)\varepsilon_t,\quad
w_{t,s}=\frac cs\prod_{j=s+1}^t(1-c/j).
$$
The deterministic initial remainder is $O(t^{-c})$ and cumulatively negligible. Product estimates give $w_{t,s}\asymp c s^{c-1}t^{-c}$ away from a finite initial segment; the cumulative kernel is
$$
k_c(x)=c x^{c-1}\int_x^1v^{-c}\,dv
=\begin{cases}\dfrac c{c-1}(1-x^{c-1}),&c\ne1,\\ \log(1/x),&c=1.\end{cases}
$$
Boundary envelopes, not just pointwise limits, justify integrating its square. Consequently
$$
t\,\mathbb E[b_tb_t^\top]\to\frac{c^2}{2c-1}Q,\qquad
\int_0^1k_c=1,\qquad \int_0^1k_c^2=\frac{2c}{2c-1}.
$$
For $Q\ne0$, the first coefficient is minimized at $c=1$; the downstream coefficient strictly decreases with $c$ and tends to $1$. Limits are for fixed $c$ as $T\to\infty$, not a uniform theorem for $c=c_T$.
### 4. Normalize rows, flatten columns, attain the sharp bound (Section 4; Appendices A.4–A.5)
Restrict to deterministic scalar historical weights with $\sum_{s\le t}w_{t,s}=1$, applied to independent centered innovations with covariance $Q$. For $k_{T,s}=\sum_{t=s}^Tw_{t,s}$, row normalization gives $\sum_sk_{T,s}=T$. Therefore
$$
\Gamma_T-Q=\frac QT\sum_{s\le T}(k_{T,s}-1)^2\succeq0.
$$
For $Q\ne0$, convergence to $Q$ is equivalent to mean-square flattening of these cumulative column weights. This is a sharp lower bound in the stated estimator class. The downstream inequality $\Sigma_{\rm PR}\succeq H^{-1}(S+Q)H^{-\top}$ additionally uses $C_0=0$ and the PR hypotheses; it is not a universal SGD lower bound.
To attain it, initialize $b_1=\varepsilon_1$, then use $\gamma_t=at^{-\rho}$ with $0<a\le1$, $1/2<\rho<1$. Equivalently $\gamma_1=1$. The weights remain nonnegative and exactly normalized. A scalar unit-variance innovation recursion $z_t$ has
$$
v_t=\mathbb Ez_t^2=(1-\gamma_t)^2v_{t-1}+\gamma_t^2=O(t^{-\rho}).
$$
Let $d_t=\gamma_t^{-1}-1$, $d_1=0$. The decisive Abel identity is
$$
\sum_{t=1}^T(z_t-u_t)=-d_Tz_T+\sum_{t=1}^{T-1}(d_{t+1}-d_t)z_t.
$$
Since $d_T=O(T^\rho)$, $d_{t+1}-d_t=O(t^{\rho-1})$, and $\|z_t\|_2=O(t^{-\rho/2})$, dividing by $\sqrt T$ yields $L^2$ order $O(T^{(\rho-1)/2})$. Independence of $u_s$ then gives the deterministic estimate
$$
T^{-1}\sum_s(k_{T,s}-1)^2=O(T^{\rho-1})\to0.
$$
It also implies the maximum-weight condition, because
$$
\max_s|k_{T,s}|/\sqrt T\le T^{-1/2}+
[T^{-1}\sum_s(k_{T,s}-1)^2]^{1/2}\to0.
$$
Thus $\Gamma_T\to Q$. If $\rho>2\alpha-1$ and the stated joint/objective assumptions hold with $C_0=0$, the optimal class covariance is attained, even though the single-step MSE is $\Theta(t^{-\rho})$ for $Q\ne0$, slower than $t^{-1}$. Numerical experiments were not rerun for this upload; the derivation and the executed finite-weight checks are recorded separately.
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